A Cross-Country Database of Fiscal Space

Year
2017
Type(s)
Author(s)
M. Ayhan Kose, Sergio Kurlat, Franziska Ohnsorge, and Naotaka Sugawara
Source
World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 8157, World Bank, Washington, DC. August 2017 | Database
Url
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/601211501678994591/A-cross-country-database-of-fiscal-space

This paper presents a comprehensive cross-country database of fiscal space, broadly defined as the availability of budgetary resources for a government to service its financial obligations. The database covers up to 200 countries over the period 1990–2016, and includes 28 indicators of fiscal space grouped into four categories: debt sustainability, balance sheet vulnerability, external and private sector debt related risks as potential causes of contingent liabilities, and market access. The authors illustrate potential applications of the database by analyzing developments in fiscal space across three time frames: over the past quarter century; during financial crises; and during oil price plunges. The main results are as follows. First, fiscal space had improved in many countries before the global financial crisis. In advanced economies, following severe deteriorations during the crisis, many indicators of fiscal space have virtually returned to levels in the mid-2000s. In contrast, fiscal space has shrunk in many emerging market and developing economies since the crisis. Second, financial crises tend to coincide with deterioration in multiple indicators of fiscal space, but they are often followed by reduced reliance on short-term borrowing. Finally, fiscal space narrows in energy-exporting emerging market and developing economies during oil price plunges but later expands, often because of procyclical fiscal tightening and, in some episodes, a recovery in oil prices.

Database.

World Bank Development Digest, Issue 6, pages 53-58 (“Fiscal Space: Concept, Measurement, and Policy Implications,” April 2019).

World Bank Research and Policy Brief 19 (“Fiscal Space: Concept, Measurement, and Policy Implications,” November 2018).

VoxEU.org (“In Search of Fiscal Space: A New Database,” February 12, 2018).

Also released as:

CAMA Working Paper 48/2017, Australian National University, Canberra
CEPR Discussion Paper 12196, Centre for Economic Policy Research, London
Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Paper 1713, Koç University, Istanbul