Biography

Naotaka Sugawara is a Senior Economist in the Prospects Group at the World Bank.

Previously, he was an economist in the Research Department of the International Monetary Fund and in the World Bank’s Office of the Chief Economist for Europe and Central Asia. He also worked in the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Unit of Europe and Central Asia Region and in the Development Research Group at the World Bank. He has numerous research publications related to economic growth, international economics and finance, fiscal policy, and financial sector development. He received a Master’s degree in International Development from the University of Pittsburgh and a B.A. in Political Science from Meiji University, Tokyo.

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Global Debt

  1. Global debt, including both government and private debt, exceeded 260 percent of GDP in 2020
  2. An annual change in debt in 2020 was the largest single-year increase. The second largest increase was in 2009 for government and total debt and 1986 for private debt
  3. There are costs associated with elevated debt, for example, increasing vulnerability to unexpected shocks and financial market disruptions

Selected Publications

Full List of Publications

A Mountain of Debt: Navigating the Legacy of the Pandemic

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 9800, World Bank, Washington, DC. October 2021
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge, and Naotaka Sugawara
Publisher's website

What Has Been the Impact of COVID-19 on Debt? Turning a Wave into a Tsunami

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 9871, World Bank, Washington, DC. November 2021
M. Ayhan Kose, Peter Nagle, Franziska Ohnsorge, and Naotaka Sugawara
Publisher's website

Global Waves of Debt: Causes and Consequences

Washington, DC: World Bank. 2021
M. Ayhan Kose, Peter Nagle, Franziska Ohnsorge, and Naotaka Sugawara
Publisher's website

Data

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Fiscal Space