Biography

Naotaka Sugawara is a Senior Economist in the Prospects Group at the World Bank Group.

Previously, he was an economist in the Research Department of the International Monetary Fund and in the World Bank’s Office of the Chief Economist for Europe and Central Asia. He also worked in the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Unit of Europe and Central Asia Region and in the Development Research Group at the World Bank. He has numerous research publications related to economic growth, international economics and finance, fiscal policy, and financial sector development. He received a Master’s degree in International Development from the University of Pittsburgh and a B.A. in Political Science from Meiji University, Tokyo.

Profiles

World Bank Group
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Income Convergence

  1. In middle-income countries, recoveries from the last two global recessions were associated with convergence of per capita income levels with high-income countries
  2. In low-income and fragile economies, the income differential with high-income countries widened by 2025, relative to the gap in 2019, while the differential narrowed during a recovery following the 2009 global recession
  3. Stalled income convergence has significant implications for poverty reduction and job creation in vulnerable economies, including low-income and fragile ones

Selected Publications

Full List of Publications

From Tailwinds to Headwinds: Emerging and Developing Economies in the Twenty-First Century

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 11169, World Bank, Washington, DC. July 2025
Mirco Balatti, M. Ayhan Kose, Kate McKinnon, Edoardo Palombo, Naotaka Sugawara, Guillermo Verduzco-Bustos, and Dana Vorisek
Publisher's website

How can Developing Countries Power up Public Investment?

World Bank Let's Talk Development blog, December 16, 2024
Amat Adarov, Valerie Mercer-Blackman, and Naotaka Sugawara
Publisher's website

Government Debt Has Declined But Don’t Celebrate Yet

Brookings Institution Future Development blog, February 21, 2023
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge, Kersten Stamm, and Naotaka Sugawara
Publisher's website

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